[Openmcl-devel] Mac App store: will CCL apps fly?
mevins at me.com
Sat Oct 23 00:18:58 UTC 2010
On Oct 22, 2010, at 6:04 PM, Raffael Cavallaro wrote:
> On Oct 22, 2010, at 7:35 PM, Sudhir Shenoy wrote:
>> Everyone is assuming that people will not buy applications that are not in the Mac App store. But is this really true?
> I think you may be missing the thrust of Ron's (and my) assessment. Apple will make non-app-store apps go away by making Mac OS X qua consumer OS go away. They will migrate all of their consumer customers to hardware that comes with the moral equivalent of iOS pre-installed. Whether this moral equivalent of iOS is called iOS or not doesn't matter - it will be locked down just like iOS is now.
> So 90+% of Apple desktop/laptop/netbook/tablet buyers will never bother to go to the trouble of installing a full UNIX on their hardware. Devs will still do so (or even worse, there will be an iOS app available to registered devs only that is a version of XCode with just enough power to develop iOS/Mac OS X LOLCat apps). But devs are not a large enough market to keep a tool that only devs use a central focus of Apple's OS development.
Devs are not a market at all. Devs are a cost center, pure and simple. If Apple thinks it can maintain its brand with fewer devs, then it will do what it can to chase the surplus ones away.
More information about the Openmcl-devel